Sunday, May 07, 2006

Is Hugo Chavez behind the illegal immigration rallies? -- UPDATED

I've been pondering this scenario for several weeks now, in conjunction with what to do about illegal immigration.

Most of the recent demonstration have been prganized at least in part by International ANSWER, a Stalinist, anti-US group with ties to Kim Jong Il's North Korea, Fidel Castro's Cuba and, worse yet, Ramsey Clark. So hostile arethey to the US that many of their allies in organizing these rallies have felt compelled to distance tehmselves from ANSWER.

Meanwhile, we have Castro ally Hugo Chavez in Venezuela trying to put the squeeze on US oil supplies by threatening to cut Venezuelan oil shipments to the US and generally driving up oil prices.

Now, remember my earlier post on the upcoming Mexican presidential elections. Mexico is a huge oil supplier to the US, and Chavez ally Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (known as AMLO) is in the running. Dick Morris broke down the dynamics of the race here. An ally Chuavez basically lets Chavez run things, as Evo Morales is proving in Bolivia.

Now, if AMLO wins the Mexican election, then Chavez will be positioned on the US southern border. If you think Vicente Fox is causing trouble there now, you ain't seen nuthin' yet. Even worse, Chavez would be in control of a large percentage of the US supply of oil.

So Chavez wants AMLO to win, and AMLO would probably cheat to do so. Problem is that Mexicans hate Chavez, and AMLO's association with Chavez has badly hurt him in the polls.

This is where ANSWER's illegal alien protests come in. I'll let Morris explain:

Lopez Obrador has attacked U.S. attempts to restrict Mexican immigration and will benefit tremendously if Congress alienates the Mexican electorate. A recent survey by John Zogby found that two-thirds of Mexicans feel Americans are racist and biased against them. A harsh shift in U.S. immigration policies could fuel a leftist victory in Mexico.

Mexicans are deeply offended by the idea of a wall designed to keep them out. Building a wall on the boarder without also starting a guest-worker program will play badly in Mexico. A wall with a guest-worker program might go down better, particularly if the legislation didn't include punitive provisions making illegal immigration a felony.
Inertia normally guides American politics. Nothing is done about anything unless a problem is perceived. While it is true that the issue of illegal immigration had been bubbling under the surface for some time now, the perception really was not there until these rallies started. Now, there a backlash brewing against the illegal aliens/colonists. The rallies have not won support, but hostility from the American public.

Which is probably what the rallies ultimate organizers, ANSWER and possibly Chavez himself, wanted. Forget the illegals. ANSWER may believe that if it can prompt this backlash against the people it's purportedly trying to help, then it can get Chavez ally AMLO elected in Mexico and cause tremendous damage to the US.

The Mexican election is July 2. Assuming my own idea for the invasion and annexation of Mexico continues to not gain traction, we may want to wait until after July 2 to push for tougher security measures at the border.

UPDATE: A link from InstaPundit! Many thanks to Professor Reynolds for linking to this Tatooine of the Blogosphere. For those new here, please take a look around. I enjoy reasoned debate, so if you disagree with me on anything, please comment.