Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Too good to be true?

Once again, what happened on September 6th, 2007? I keep asking this question, and no one can ever give a straight answer.

We know that on that date Israel launched an incursion into Syria of some sort, probably an attack with jets and commandos. As best as we can tell, these were the basics:

Israeli F-15s took out two targets [...] One contained nuclear weapons components shipped from North Korea; the other Zil Zal surface-to-surface missiles from Iran. Before the fighter-bombers attacked, Israeli commandos inserted by helicopter took out the radars for Syria's Russian-supplied air defense system.
The odd features of this story are that while Syria has not made a big stink about this incident, possibly because of embarrassment, North Korea has. Moreover, Israel ended up with nuclear materials as a result of the incursion.

So what was the target, which was near Dayr az Zawr on the upper Euphrates, about 50 miles from the Iraqi border? A nuclear facility of some type? We don't know. So this short blurb from the Jerusalem Post is very tantalizing:

An upcoming joint US-Israel report on the September 6 IAF strike on a Syrian facility will claim that former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein transferred weapons of mass destruction to the country, Channel 2 stated Monday.
Well, that sounds interesting. But I've also heard the rumor about having found Saddam's big stockpiles of WMD's before. I believe we found at least some of them (hint: think "pesticides"), but relatively few people are with me on that.

Allahpundit is understandably skeptical:

Is the suggestion that the facility bombed by the IAF was itself housing Saddam’s WMD, or that whatever it was that was inside the building — ballistic missiles, a nuclear reactor, a nuclear weapons factory — was built on the back of transferred technology? (The Syrian structure does date to 2003.) If the former, there’s a problem: It’s North Korea, not Iraq, that’s supposedly responsible for supplying Assad, an allegation most recently repeated just a few days ago in a Japanese paper that claimed to have inside information about Ehud Olmert’s conversation with Japan’s prime minister on the subject. If the latter, there’s another problem: The boxy Syrian structure resembled one of North Korea’s gas-graphite reactors, one of the reasons analysts thought it was a nuke facility. If it was actually just a warehouse, that’s a mighty unfortunate coincidence for Assad.
I do not believe that anything Allah says here, however, precludes the possibility of there being Iraqi WMD's at this site. All it indicates is that there is North Korean involvement. Comparing notes, perhaps?

I can think of several scenarios where there would be Iraqi WMD at such a facility with North Korean involvement, but I think it more prudent to wait until this report comes out to evaluate the evidence.